February 24, 2012

MAYBANK - Ex EIs, Momentum Still Intact

Stock Name: MAYBANK
Company Name: MALAYAN BANKING BHD
Research House: HLGPrice Call: BUYTarget Price: 10.12



Maybank (Buy)
  • Excluding two one offs, FY12/11results were in line with HLIB but slightly below consensus.  
  • Final div 36 sen(32 sen DRP), > HLIB's 25 sen projection.   
  • Core earnings growth momentum intact with double-digit Loans and deposits growth. Coupled with the one offs, exceeded most FY12/11 KPIs.   
  • FY12/12 ROE KPI of 15.6% vs.HLIB's 15.3%.  Targeting double-digit loans and deposits growth,increasing LDR to 90% but 10bps erosion in NIM.  
  • Asset quality improved with deterioration evidences.  However, to be conservative, it is guiding for credit charge of 35-40bps (vs. 25bps in FY12/11). 
  • Group capital ratios can meet Basel III.  Management intends to continue with DRP (given the clear benefits) post expiry of Section 108 tax credit by end FY12/12.
  • FY12-13 raised by circa 5% post final results.
  • Maintain Buy.
  • Target price raised to RM10.12 (from RM9.50) based on Gordon Growth with ROE of 15.6% and WACC of 9.9%.
Source: HLB Research 24 Feb 2012

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