January 31, 2012

RHBInvest Research Highlights 31st January 2012

Stock Name: DRBHCOM
Company Name: DRB-HICOM BHD
Research House: RHBPrice Call: BUYTarget Price: 3.45

Stock Name: UMW
Company Name: UMW HOLDINGS BHD
Research House: RHBPrice Call: SELLTarget Price: 6.20



31st January 2012
 
Top Story
Wah Seong ' A Quiet 2012?                                                                                 Market Perform
Visit Note
-          We met up with Wah Seong's management recently and came away positive on: 1) news that the domestic pipe-coating contracts are picking up; 2) the progress with the Insituform JV; and 3) the ongoing endeavour to segregate the two core business, with the aim for better operational focus.
-          However, our concerns are: 1) the uncertainty of the domestic pipe-coating contract awards; and 2) the lack of a large international project to anchor earnings for 2012.
 
Sector Update
Motor ' Storm In A Teacup                                                                              Neutral (Upgraded)
Sector Update
DRB-HICOM ' Fair value raised to RM3.45                                                  Outperform (Upgraded)
 
UMW ' Fair value at RM6.20                                                                                    Underperform
-          Recent media reports suggest that banks are considering measures to tighten HP lending, including restricting buyers to a maximum of two car loans at any one time reducing the margin of financing for the second HP loan (65-70%) and also for loans for "luxury" makes (50%).
-          We understand that there is no official directive from Bank Negara (BNM). In our opinion, the possible measures are not likely to have a significant impact on auto sales given that the majority of HP borrowers have only one car loan.
 
Corporate Highlights
Public Bank ' Results in line but dividend slightly disappointing                                      Outperform
Results / Briefing Note
-          Public Bank's 4Q11 results were in line with our and consensus estimates but the interim net DPS of 28 sen declared was below our expected 31.5 sen. Full-year net payout was 48.3% was below our 52.5% assumption, which we suspect was partly to conserve capital as BNM has yet to announce its stand on the countercyclical buffer.

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