November 25, 2010

MSPORTS - Multi Sports Holdings sees normalised sales from new capacity

Stock Name: MSPORTS
Company Name: MULTI SPORTS HOLDINGS LTD
Research House: OSK

Multi Sports Holdings Bhd
(Nov 24, 51 sen)
Maintain buy at 49.5 sen with lower target price of 87 sen (from 93 sen)
: While Multi Sports reported strong 9MFY10 revenue and core net profit ' revenue increased by 40.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM203.4 million and 30% y-o-y to RM49.2 million ' its annualised full-year earnings of RM65.6 million, came in below our full-year estimate of RM75.7 million as we overestimated the production volume from new capacity on an annualised basis.

Compared with the strong sales growth of 57.5% (net profit +49.5%) y-o-y in 2QFY10, the group recorded a slower 17% top line y-o-y growth (net profit +3.2% y-o-y) in 3QFY10 as the group has added in extra capacity in 3QFY09, hence the 17% y-o-y growth in the current quarter is a normalised growth.

Multi Sports added five production lines for EVA MD in 3QFY09. Production volume continued to increase by 34% to 23.4 million in 9MFY10 (3QFY10: +14%) while the average selling price improved by 4.4% to RM18.9 (3QFY10: +2.2% y-o-y), mainly driven by the higher demand for EVA MD products.

9MFY10 earnings before interest and tax (Ebit) margin was lower at 28.3% against 33.7% in the previous year due to higher labour costs as the group revised wages upwards, administrative expenses and foreign exchange loss on fundraising from rights share issue which are recognised in the current quarter. The slower core earnings growth compared with top line growth was further explained by the higher interest expense incurred during this quarter on additional short-term loan drawdown.

We trim our FY10 and FY11 earnings forecast by 6.8% to 15% to factor in the lower production volume from new capacity on an annualised basis. We forecast the group will register flat profit in the next quarter due to capacity constraints. We are also expecting Multi Sports to register flat net profit in FY11 given the higher depreciation expense incurred for the new plant and higher effective tax rate of 25% against 12.5% currently. Our target price is reduced to 87 sen, based on 5.5 times FY11 EPS instead of FY10. The construction of its new plant on Xibin Land was completed in November and the group is targeting to move in completely by next month. ' OSK Investment Research, Nov 24


This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, November 25, 2010.


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