March 20, 2012

Gaming (OVERWEIGHT) - Defensive Stocks Staying Still

Stock Name: BJTOTO
Company Name: BERJAYA SPORTS TOTO BHD
Research House: HLGPrice Call: BUYTarget Price: 4.92

Stock Name: GENM
Company Name: GENTING MALAYSIA BERHAD
Research House: HLGPrice Call: BUYTarget Price: 4.17

Stock Name: GENTING
Company Name: GENTING BHD
Research House: HLGPrice Call: BUYTarget Price: 11.50




Gaming(OVERWEIGHT)
DefensiveStocks Staying Still
  • GenM's FY11 results came in linewhereas GenT's FY11 results were aboveexpectations. BToto on the other hand, will be releasing its 3QFY12 results on21 March.
  • BToto's results is expected toreport strong yoy and qoq growth due to higher number of draw days, the CNYfestival which falls in Jan and the impact of 4D Jackpot.
  • Our regression test also showed thatthe cannibalization by 4D Jackpot has narrowed down to RM213k from RM536k perdraw previously.
  • BToto's 4D sales have been on adeclining trend since 2009, partly due to the matured game. Magnum's 4D salesexperienced the same trend as well.
  • RWNY's net win begins to improve ascustomers get used to the cold weather in NY. State-wide's average net winbreaches its historical high with US$313/VLT/day.
  • GenS launched its remaining 2 luxuryaccommodations last month. They now have a total of 1,538 rooms in the resort.
  • Given that we had upgraded ourratings on GenM and GenT
    (post FY11 results) to BUY, we upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT. Toppick according to preference are: (1) BToto (BUY, TP: 4.92), GenM (BUY, TP:4.17) and (3) GenT (BUY, TP: 11.50).

Source: HLIB Research 20 March 2012

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